Heading into the election, all focus should be on the carbon budget and how much we emit before net zero. Everything else is just noise

The election next year will be redolent with spin and obfuscation. Unfortunately, this will be most evident in relation to climate change policy. So let us prepare by outlining the reality of where we are at, and what the future holds.

First the good news: 2021 is on target to be the coolest year since 2014. The latest Nasa figures to October has 2021 on track to be around 1.1C above the late 19th century average.

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